Sunday, June 28, 2020

Evidence based science and COVID-19

There is so much of confusing rather conflicting data regarding spread and lethality of COVID19 infection that people are divided about it based on what political ideology they believe in. There are "believers" and then there are "non-believers". Most likely truth lies somewhere in the middle. And given the crumbling economies everywhere in the world, it has become absolutely necessary to find the "truth". To me following questions are important to be asked from government agencies so as the real threat of this virus can be assessed: 

1. In the US alone, lots of people die naturally of "flu" every year, gravity of which can be can be seen in the fact that as many as 61,000 people died from influenza (flu) just in one year (2017-2018). 
So it will be interesting to know as to how many people died of regular "flu" during this pandemic times? Do we have overlap of these two separate "diseases" (flu vs. COVID19) in the number of the patients? 

2. Cardiovascular diseases are the number one killer in the US. 647,000 Americans die from heart disease each year—that's 1 in every 4 deaths. 
Would the agencies release the data from the same period (pandemic period) as to how many people died of cardiovascular diseases during these months? Are these numbers independent from COVID19 patients who died during this time or are they same? More important question is as to how many people died of cardiovascular diseases during this period who did not have COVID19? 

Same question can be asked regarding other major killers such as real number of deaths from stroke (number 2 killer), COPD (number 3 killer), cancer, etc. and some other infectious diseases for lower income countries. 

Get these numbers and measure the overlap between these diseases and COVID19 by subtracting the number of deaths from these diseases from COVID19 related deaths, that will tell the real impact of COVID19. In absence of these numbers, vested interests will continue to manipulate the people's mind to suit their political agenda and millions of people will continue to suffer from non-COVID19 related issues such as unemployment etc.

An example of "believers" vs. "non-believers":

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